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Title Fine-Grained Urban Flow Prediction
ID_Doc 26541
Authors Liang Y.; Ouyang K.; Sun J.; Wang Y.; Zhang J.; Zheng Y.; Rosenblum D.; Zimmermann R.
Year 2021
Published The Web Conference 2021 - Proceedings of the World Wide Web Conference, WWW 2021
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/3442381.3449792
Abstract Urban flow prediction benefits smart cities in many aspects, such as traffic management and risk assessment. However, a critical prerequisite for these benefits is having fine-grained knowledge of the city. Thus, unlike previous works that are limited to coarse-grained data, we extend the horizon of urban flow prediction to fine granularity which raises specific challenges: 1) the predominance of inter-grid transitions observed in fine-grained data makes it more complicated to capture the spatial dependencies among grid cells at a global scale; 2) it is very challenging to learn the impact of external factors (e.g., weather) on a large number of grid cells separately. To address these two challenges, we present a Spatio-Temporal Relation Network (STRN) to predict fine-grained urban flows. First, a backbone network is used to learn high-level representations for each cell. Second, we present a Global Relation Module (GloNet) that captures global spatial dependencies much more efficiently compared to existing methods. Third, we design a Meta Learner that takes external factors and land functions (e.g., POI density) as inputs to produce meta knowledge and boost model performances. We conduct extensive experiments on two real-world datasets. The results show that STRN reduces the errors by 7.1% to 11.5% compared to the state-of-the-art method while using much fewer parameters. Moreover, a cloud-based system called UrbanFlow 3.0 has been deployed to show the practicality of our approach. © 2021 ACM.
Author Keywords Convolution neural networks; Relational learning; Spatio-temporal data; Urban computing.; Urban flow prediction


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