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Title T-Rappi: A Machine Learning Model For The Corredor Metropolitano
ID_Doc 54354
Authors Traverso D.; Pacheco G.; Castañeda P.
Year 2025
Published International Conference on Vehicle Technology and Intelligent Transport Systems, VEHITS - Proceedings
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.5220/0013220700003941
Abstract The public transportation system in Lima, Peru, faces significant challenges, including bus shortages, long queues, and severe traffic congestion, which diminish service quality. These issues arise from a lack of modern management tools capable of efficiently handling the Metropolitano bus system. This paper introduces T-RAPPI, a predictive model based on Random Forest, developed to estimate bus arrival times at Metropolitano stations. Using historical data on bus arrivals and operational parameters, the model achieved exceptional accuracy, with an R2 score of 0.9998 and a MAPE of 0.0554%, demonstrating its robustness and ability to minimize prediction errors. The implementation of T-RAPPI represents a substantial improvement over existing systems, providing operators with data-driven insights to optimize route planning and bus allocation. Additionally, the model's integration into the mobile application Metropolitano + enhances the commuting experience by offering users real-time bus arrival predictions, reducing uncertainty and wait times. Future extensions of this work could include incorporating real-time traffic and weather data to further enhance prediction accuracy and expanding the model to other transit systems in Lima and beyond. Copyright © 2025 by SCITEPRESS - Science and Technology Publications, Lda.
Author Keywords Intelligent Transportation Systems; Machine Learning; Mobile Application; Public Transportation Prediction; Random Forest; Smart City Technologies


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