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Title Short-Term Travel Time Prediction On Urban Road Networks Using Massive Eri Data
ID_Doc 48715
Authors Huang J.; Zheng L.; Qin J.; Xia D.; Chen L.; Sun D.
Year 2019
Published Proceedings - 2019 IEEE SmartWorld, Ubiquitous Intelligence and Computing, Advanced and Trusted Computing, Scalable Computing and Communications, Internet of People and Smart City Innovation, SmartWorld/UIC/ATC/SCALCOM/IOP/SCI 2019
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/SmartWorld-UIC-ATC-SCALCOM-IOP-SCI.2019.00138
Abstract Providing real-time and accurate travel time can help road users plan their trips to minimize travel time. Existing methods of travel time prediction mainly employ the data of floating car and loop detectors, which are limited to the sources. Those data only provide information of some vehicle and reflects partial traffic information. With the development of RFID technology, Electronic registration identification (ERI), which employ RFID technology to track individual vehicle, is the electronic ID card of motor vehicle. The collecting ERI data can reflect whole traffic information. The purpose of this paper is to develop short-term travel time prediction model based on ERI data. Firstly, the paper introduces the collection principle of ERI data and the travel time of travel segments using the ERI data. Then the short-term travel time prediction model on urban road networks based on KNN algorithm is constructed, including steps such as constructing eigenvectors, cross-validation method to determine K value and local estimation method. Compared with the historical average model and the autoregressive moving average model, experimental results reveal the KNN outperforms the other two models. © 2019 IEEE.
Author Keywords ERI; KNN; Travel Time Predication; Urban Road Networks


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