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Title A Lstm Based Bus Arrival Time Prediction Method
ID_Doc 2448
Authors Zeng L.; He G.; Han Q.; Ye L.; Li F.; Chen L.
Year 2019
Published Proceedings - 2019 IEEE SmartWorld, Ubiquitous Intelligence and Computing, Advanced and Trusted Computing, Scalable Computing and Communications, Internet of People and Smart City Innovation, SmartWorld/UIC/ATC/SCALCOM/IOP/SCI 2019
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/SmartWorld-UIC-ATC-SCALCOM-IOP-SCI.2019.00133
Abstract Bus arrival time prediction not only provides convenience for passengers, but also helps to improve the efficiency of intelligent transportation system. However, the low prediction accuracy becomes one of great puzzle. Considering both historic data and real-time traffic condition, in this paper, a new bus arrival time prediction method is proposed. A LSTM training model is used to get historic cruising speed, while two traffic factors are defined to illustrate real-time traffic state. Then a bus arrival time prediction is established based on speed values. Validation experiment results show that proposed method could predict the bus arrival time in special time span accurately. © 2019 IEEE.
Author Keywords Bus arrival time prediction; Long short-term memory; Traffic factor prediction model


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